The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aliança Pilarense 21.7%
Draw 26.3%
Clube Sociedade Esportiva 52%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.1%
30.7%
40.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.1%
29.7%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aliança Pilarense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aliança Pilarense's form might have worsened.
Clube Sociedade Esportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Clube Sociedade Esportiva's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aliança Pilarense than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aliança Pilarense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clube Sociedade Esportiva than the current prediction. (-13%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Clube Sociedade Esportiva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation and 7).
The competitors look crappy now.
CSE could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
CSE will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Aliança won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Aliança won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.