Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 12

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Islas Malvinas Stadium (Floresta)


	All Boys		San Miguel

	1	X	2
	2.01	2.65	5	Watch
	2.1	2.65	4
	2.05	2.62	4.55	Watch
	2.14	2.75	5.27
	2.14	2.56	4.86	Watch
	2.05	2.5	4.6
	2.01	2.32	4.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.16)	2.58 ↑ (2.46)	4.75 ↓ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

All Boys
44.7%

Draw
35.9%

San Miguel
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

38%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

37.1%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

All Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for All Boys than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	44.4%	11.1%

All Boys - San Miguel Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. All Boys will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). San Miguel will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for All Boys: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. All Boys (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carrizo N. (G) 9. Apa S. 10. Blanco R. 17. Calone T. 4. Grana H. 7. Medina B. 8. Melo A. 3. Quiroz F. 6. Tabares A. 5. Turraca G. 2. Zafarana I.	1. Lungarzo J. (G) 2. Aguirre F. 11. Almeida F. 6. Ceceri K. 4. Coronel F. 3. Cruz A. 8. Desabato L. 7. Diaz T. 10. Ferrero J. 9. Nasta B. 5. Ramirez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Ferrero J. 🟨,
30', Aguirre F. 🟨,
32', Zafarana I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Almeida F. ⚽, Nasta B. (A),
55', Coronel M. ↓, Palacio I. ↑,
55', Blanco R. ↓, Assennato T. ↑,
65', Purita E. ↓, Rodriguez Matias ↑,
69', Almeida F. ↓, Delgado L. ↑,
69', Nasta B. ↓, Brochero L. ↑,
71', Aguirre F. 🟨,
74', Ferrero J. ↓, Cardozo F. ↑,
77', Diaz T. 🟨,
77', Tabares A. ↓, Calone T. ↑,
77', Zafarana I. ↓, Nouet M. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Medina B. ⚽, Rodriguez Matias (A),
86', Diaz T. ↓, Serra M. ↑,
86', Desabato L. ↓, Jerez T. ↑,
87', Assennato T. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, All Boys won 1.

All Boys is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

San Miguel has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

All Boys is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, All Boys won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, All Boys won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA All Boys
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.04.26	San Telmo - All Boys	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	All Boys - Acassuso	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Chaco For Ever - All Boys	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	All Boys - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Nueva Chicago - All Boys	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLTT
- CA San Miguel
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.04.26	San Miguel - Los Andes	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Godoy Cruz - San Miguel	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	San Miguel - Deportivo Morón	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Colón - San Miguel	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Colegiales - San Miguel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.07.25	San Miguel - All Boys	1:0
14.03.25	All Boys - San Miguel	2:1
17.08.24	San Miguel - All Boys	2:1
31.03.24	All Boys - San Miguel	0:0
Argentinian Primera B
25.01.19	All Boys - San Miguel	1:1
18.08.18	San Miguel - All Boys	0:0

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