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Current Win Probability
Colegiales 32.6%
Draw 36.2%
San Miguel 31.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.9%
35%
35.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.4%
34.4%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colegiales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Colegiales - San Miguel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Di Fulvio E. (C) 4. Malagueno F. 2. Ortiz L. 6. Aguirre E. 3. Hanashiro F. 8. Ocampo E. 5. Marin F. 11. Trinidad E. 7. Mamani M. 9. Toloza N. 10. Castillo L.
1. Lungarzo J. (G) 4. Adin D. 2. Renteria D. 6. Ceceri K. 3. Cardozo F. 8. Coronel F. 5. Ramirez I. (C) 10. Almeida F. 11. Ferrero J. 7. Oses M. 9. Nasta B.
Substitutes
20. Albertengo M. 12. Alcorcel A. (G) 15. Almada T. 13. Insua E. 17. Juarez L. 16. Miranda F. 19. Monserrat R. E. 14. Montiel F. 18. Zicarelli F.
13. Aguirre F. 14. Cruz A. 811. Delgado L. 16. Desabato L. 19. Diaz T. 20. Jerez T. 15. Juarez D. 17. Serra M. 12. Sosa R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Castillo L. 🟨,
26', Nasta B. 🟨,
36', Ocampo E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Ramirez I. 🟨,
66', Castillo L. ↓, Juarez L. ↑,
66', Toloza N. ↓, Monserrat R. E. ↑,
68', Ramirez I. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
68', Almeida F. ↓, Desabato L. ↑,
73', Nasta B. ↓, Delgado L. ↑,
73', Cardozo F. ↓, Diaz T. ↑,
74', Ocampo E. ↓, Zicarelli F. ↑,
78', Ferrero J. 🟨,
86', Coronel F. ↓, Serra M. ↑,
90', Trinidad E. ↓, Albertengo M. ↑,
90+1', Di Fulvio E. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colegiales won 2.
Colegiales is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
San Miguel has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Colegiales has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Colegiales won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Colegiales won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.7:0.6).
Watch
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Di Fulvio E. (C) 
Renteria D. 
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