Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 8

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López (Santa Fe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Colón		San Miguel

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.2	4.75	Watch
	1.85	3	4.65	Watch
	1.88	3.05	5.21
	1.9	2.91	5.17	Watch
	1.85	2.9	4.8
	1.82	2.88	4.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.19)	2.99 ↑ (2.75)	4.92 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colón
50.1%

Draw
31%

San Miguel
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

33.9%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

33.1%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colón's performance.

San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Colón - San Miguel Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. San Miguel will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Budino M. (G) 4. Peinipil M. 2. Barrios P. 6. Rasmussen F. 3. Allende L. 7. Munoz M. 5. Lertora F. 8. Antonio I. 10. Lago I. 9. Bonansea A. 11. Marcioni J.	1. Lungarzo J. (G) 4. Adin D. 2. Renteria D. 6. Ceceri K. 3. Cardozo F. 8. Coronel F. 5. Ramirez I. 10. Almeida F. 11. Cruz A. 7. Oses M. 9. Delgado L.
Substitutes
17. Beltran E. 14. Cano L. 20. Castro F. 16. Godoy M. 19. Ibarra C. 13. Olmedo S. 12. Paredes T. (G) 18. Thaller N. 15. Toledo A.	13. Aguirre F. 18. De la Cruz E. 16. Desabato L. 19. Diaz T. 15. Ferrero J. 20. Jerez T. 17. Juarez D. 12. Ledesma Reynoso M. (G) 14. Serra M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Antonio I. ⚽, Marcioni J. (A),
13', 2 - 0, Antonio I. ⚽,
19', Ramirez I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Coronel F. ↓, Juarez D. ↑,
46', Cardozo F. ↓, Ferrero J. ↑,
58', Renteria D. 🟨,
63', 3 - 0, Lago I. ⚽,
71', Ramirez I. ↓, Serra M. ↑,
71', Almeida F. ↓, Desabato L. ↑,
75', Antonio I. ↓, Toledo A. ↑,
75', Munoz M. ↓, Olmedo S. ↑,
81', Allende L. ↓, Beltran E. ↑,
81', Oses M. ↓, Jerez T. ↑,
82', Barrios P. ↓, Thaller N. ↑,
88', Marcioni J. ↓, Godoy M. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Colón is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.03.26	Patronato Parana - Colón	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	San Telmo - Colón	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Colón - Acassuso	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Colón - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Central Norte - Colón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWTT
- CA San Miguel
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.03.26	Colegiales - San Miguel	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	San Miguel - Racing de Córdoba	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	San Miguel - San Telmo	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	San Miguel - Chaco For Ever	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - San Miguel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLTWT

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