Match Info

AUSTRIA: REGIONALLIGA CENTRAL - ROUND 19

Date: 22 March 2024, Friday


	Allerheiligen		SPG Wels

	1	X	2
	4.2	4	1.58
	4.75	4.2	1.55
	4.37	4.48	1.57
	4.37	4.48	1.58
	4.33	4	1.53
	4.74	4.15	1.55
	4.5	4.3	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.47 ↑ (3.43)	4.23 ↑ (3.66)	1.56 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Allerheiligen
20.3%

Draw
21.5%

SPG Wels
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

24.9%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

23%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Allerheiligen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Allerheiligen's form might have worsened.

SPG Wels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SPG Wels's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Allerheiligen than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Allerheiligen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SPG Wels, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Hernaus M. ⚽,
56', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Allerheiligen won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Allerheiligen have a series of guest games.

SPG Wels will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Allerheiligen won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Allerheiligen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Allerheiligen
Austrian Regionalliga Central
16.03.24	Union Gurten - Allerheiligen	5:0 ✺
08.03.24	Allerheiligen - Weindorf St. Anna am Aigen	4:0 ✺
01.03.24	Deutschlandsberger - Allerheiligen	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.02.24	Tillmitsch - Allerheiligen	3:2 ✺
10.02.24	Ilzer - Allerheiligen	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWLL
- SPG Wels
Austrian Regionalliga Central
15.03.24	SPG Wels - Union Vöcklamarkt	3:0 ✺
09.03.24	ASK Klagenfurt - SPG Wels	3:2 ✺
01.03.24	SPG Wels - Wolfsberger AC II	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
17.02.24	SPG Wels - Pregarten	6:3 ✺
09.02.24	Ried - SPG Wels	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga Central
01.04.23	SPG Wels - Allerheiligen	3:1
19.08.22	Allerheiligen - SPG Wels	0:2
29.04.22	Allerheiligen - SPG Wels	1:1
21.08.20	Allerheiligen - SPG Wels	1:4
26.10.19	SPG Wels - Allerheiligen	0:2
10.05.19	Allerheiligen - SPG Wels	3:1
28.09.18	SPG Wels - Allerheiligen	0:3

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