Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday


	Ried		SPG Wels

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.49	6.84
	1.29	5.29	8.08	Watch
	1.29	5	8
	1.25	5.45	8.4	Watch
	1.39	5	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.39)	5.25 ↑ (5)	7.42 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ried
70.3%

Draw
17.4%

SPG Wels
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

18.3%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

19.1%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ried has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

SPG Wels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ried than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Ried - SPG Wels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Ried is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

SPG Wels is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ried may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ried is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ried won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 3.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Ried won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Ried - the odds 1.39 are the expected chance of winning is 65.89%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Ried
Austrian Bundesliga
21.03.26	Blau-Weiss Linz - Ried	3:2 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
18.03.26	Ried - LASK Linz	1:2 ET ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
14.03.26	Ried - Swarovski Tirol	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Ried - Austria Wien	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Grazer AK - Ried	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWLL
- SPG Wels
Austrian 2 Liga
20.03.26	Liefering - SPG Wels	2:5 ✺
13.03.26	SPG Wels - Kapfenberger SV	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Austria Wien II - SPG Wels	1:0 ✺
27.02.26	SPG Wels - Admira	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Amstetten - SPG Wels	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.02.24	Ried - SPG Wels	4:0
Austrian OFB Cup
22.07.23	SPG Wels - Ried	1:3
31.08.22	SPG Wels - Ried	2:4

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