Match Info

Date: 10 October 2022, Monday


	Alliance		Viljandi Tulevik

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.9	1.88
	3.25	4.25	1.85
	3	4	1.89
	3.12	4.39	1.96
	3	3.8	1.88
	3.1	4.48	1.91	Watch
	3.1	4.2	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.25)	4.15 ↑ (4.08)	1.89 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alliance
29.7%

Draw
22%

Viljandi Tulevik
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

22.1%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

21.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alliance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alliance's form might have worsened.

Viljandi Tulevik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Viljandi Tulevik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alliance than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alliance, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viljandi Tulevik than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Viljandi Tulevik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	35.7%	21.4%

Alliance - Viljandi Tulevik Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Alliance will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Tulevik will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alliance: 17% – 68.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Alliance has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tulevik is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alliance won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Alliance won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ida-Virumaa FC Alliance
Estonian Esiliiga
02.10.22	Flora U21 - Alliance	8:0 ✺
17.09.22	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Alliance	6:0 ✺
12.09.22	Alliance - Elva	1:3 ✺
04.09.22	Viljandi Tulevik - Alliance	5:0 ✺
01.09.22	Alliance - Nõmme United	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- JK Viljandi Tulevik
Estonian Esiliiga
01.10.22	Viljandi Tulevik - Paide U21	2:4 ✺
17.09.22	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Viljandi Tulevik	3:2 ✺
10.09.22	Viljandi Tulevik - Nõmme United	0:7 ✺
04.09.22	Viljandi Tulevik - Alliance	5:0 ✺
01.09.22	Paide U21 - Viljandi Tulevik	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
04.09.22	Viljandi Tulevik - Alliance	5:0
30.06.22	Viljandi Tulevik - Alliance	0:5
17.04.22	Alliance - Viljandi Tulevik	1:0

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