The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alloa Athletic 38.9%
Draw 29.1%
Airdrieonians 32%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.5%
29.6%
38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.3%
29.4%
39.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alloa Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alloa Athletic's performance.
Airdrieonians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Airdrieonians might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alloa Athletic than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alloa Athletic that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Airdrieonians could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alloa Athletic - Airdrieonians Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Alloa (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alloa (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. McFarlane L. (G) 24. Foster O. 2. Taggart S. (C) 6. Dewar C. 20. O'Donnell C. 28. Adamson C. 4. Hetherington S. 12. Scougall S. 29. Burnside C. 9. Donnelly L. 27. Stewart L.
50. Stone H. (G) 24. McKinnon C. 5. Wilson A. (C) 12. McArthur C. 3. Strapp L. 23. Telfer Ch. 18. Barjonas J. 17. McGrattan L. 15. Thomas D. 11. Henderson E. 7. Mochrie C. R.
Substitutes
19. Buchanan S. 7. Clarke A. 5. Graham A. 15. McKay D. 1. Ogayi T. (G) 11. Orsi K. 10. Rankin L. 18. Sammon C. 3. Waters C.
26. Armstrong R. 25. Constable S. 8. Gallagher G. 10. Mahon R. 4. McGinty S. 20. Melrose C. (G)
Coaches
Graham A.
Taylor-Sinclair A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Taggart S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Thomas D. ↓, Gallagher G. ↑,
55', McGrattan L. ↓, Mahon R. ↑,
68', Barjonas J. ↓, Constable S. ↑,
70', Donnelly L. ↓, Orsi K. ↑,
70', Scougall S. 🟨,
73', Henderson E. ↓, Armstrong R. ↑,
76', Scougall S. ↓, Waters C. ↑,
77', Wilson A. 🟨,
85', Burnside C. ↓, Sammon C. ↑,
90+2', McArthur C. 🟨,
90+4', O'Donnell C. 🟨,
Preview
First leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alloa won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Alloa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Airdrieonians is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alloa won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:28. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Alloa won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Alloa Athletic - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 31.5%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Airdrieonians - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.93%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
United Kingdom
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McFarlane L. (G) 
Dewar C. 
Burnside C. 
Ogayi T. (G) 
Sammon C. 
Taylor-Sinclair A. 
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