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Current Win Probability
Airdrieonians 41.3%
Draw 28.2%
Ayr United 30.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41%
27.5%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
26.3%
32.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Airdrieonians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Airdrieonians - Ayr United Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Airdrieonians will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ayr will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Ayr (2.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ayr (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Stone H. (G) 25. Constable S. 16. Ross C. 12. McArthur C. 3. Strapp L. (C) 23. Telfer Ch. 18. Barjonas J. 24. McKinnon C. 15. Thomas D. 17. McGrattan L. 7. Mochrie C. R.
1. Mitchell D. (G) 3. Dick L. 20. King L. 5. Holt K. 33. McMann S. 8. Dempsey B. (C) 6. Bannigan S. 16. Summers B. 15. Murphy J. 18. Hislop J. 7. Dowds A.
Substitutes
26. Armstrong R. 8. Gallagher G. 10. Mahon R. 4. McGinty S. 20. Melrose C. (G)
55. Finney G. 2. McAllister N. 22. McKenzie M. 29. McRoberts L. 38. Russell L. (G) 31. Thompson M. (G) 12. Turley F. 4. Want S. 32. Watret D.
Coaches
Taylor-Sinclair A.
Rankin J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, King L. ⚽, Bannigan S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', Hislop J. 🟨,
49', Hislop J. ↓, McKenzie M. ↑,
57', Dowds A. 🟨,
59', Summers B. ↓, Watret D. ↑,
60', Constable S. ↓, Gallagher G. ↑,
63', Bannigan S. 🟨,
67', Barjonas J. ↓, Mahon R. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Mahon R. ⚽,
79', McMann S. ↓, McAllister N. ↑,
79', Murphy J. ↓, McRoberts L. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, McArthur C. ⚽,
90', McGrattan L. ↓, Armstrong R. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Airdrieonians won 0.
Airdrieonians has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ayr is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Ayr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Airdrieonians might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Airdrieonians won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 19:41. (average 1:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Airdrieonians won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.8:1.4).
Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now
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Stone H. (G) 
Dempsey B. (C) 
Mahon R. 
Turley F. 
Taylor-Sinclair A. 
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