Match Info

Challenge Cup - Round 3

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Recreation Park (Alloa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Alloa Athletic		Celtic B

	1	X	2
	1.8	4	3.3
	1.85	3.6	3.3
	1.82	3.85	3.6
	1.87	3.96	3.61
	1.92	3.78	3.38	Watch
	1.85	3.78	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.02)	3.83 ↑ (3.8)	3.47 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alloa Athletic
49.6%

Draw
24%

Celtic B
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

24%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

23.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alloa Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Celtic B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alloa Athletic than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celtic B than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Alloa Athletic - Celtic B Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alloa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Ure K. ⚽, Hatton T. (A),
40', 1 - 1, Foster O. ⚽, Orsi K. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 3)
51', 2 - 1, Orsi K. ⚽, Graham A. (A),
53', 2 - 2, Bonnar J. ⚽, Ferns R. (A),
55', 2 - 3, Mcardle S. ⚽,
57', 2 - 4, Summers B. ⚽, Bonnar J. (A),
60', 3 - 4, Buchanan S. ⚽,
68', 4 - 4, Sammon C. ⚽,
87', 5 - 4, Roberts K. ⚽,

Preview

Alloa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Celtic B is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Celtic B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Celtic B has had a series of away games.

Alloa could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alloa Athletic - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.05%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alloa Athletic
Scottish League One
30.08.25	Inverness - Alloa Athletic	1:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
26.08.25	Alloa Athletic - St. Mirren 2	2:3 ✺
Scottish League One
23.08.25	Alloa Athletic - Hamilton Academical	1:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
16.08.25	Glasgow Rangers - Alloa Athletic	4:2 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
12.08.25	Stranraer - Alloa Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL
- Celtic B
Scottish Challenge Cup
26.08.25	Kelty Hearts - Celtic B	0:1 ✺
Scottish Lowland League
23.08.25	Gala Fairydean - Celtic B	1:1 ✺
19.08.25	Celtic B - Gretna 2008	5:3 ✺
16.08.25	Linlithgow Rose - Celtic B	3:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
12.08.25	Clyde - Celtic B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTWLW

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