Match Info

Challenge Cup - Round 1

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stair Park (Stranraer)


	Stranraer		Alloa Athletic

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.75	1.8
	3.6	3.5	1.78
	3.75	3.65	1.85
	3.92	3.56	1.83
	3.8	3.4	1.83
	3.86	3.66	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (3.48)	3.59 ↓ (3.83)	1.82 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stranraer
24.4%

Draw
25.4%

Alloa Athletic
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

23.8%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

22.5%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stranraer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Alloa Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stranraer than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alloa Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Stranraer - Alloa Athletic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stranraer (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, Dolan J. ⚽,
56', 1 - 1, Clarke A. ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, Turay S. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stranraer won 3.

Stranraer is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alloa is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Alloa could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Stranraer won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Stranraer won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stranraer FC
Scottish League Two
09.08.25	Stranraer - Edinburgh City	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Forfar Athletic - Stranraer	1:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
26.07.25	Stranraer - Queen of the South	1:0 ✺
19.07.25	Edinburgh City - Stranraer	1:0 penalties ✺
15.07.25	Partick Thistle - Stranraer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWLL
- Alloa Athletic
Scottish League One
09.08.25	East Fife - Alloa Athletic	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Stenhousemuir - Alloa Athletic	1:2 ✺
Scottish League Cup
26.07.25	Airdrieonians - Alloa Athletic	2:3 ✺
19.07.25	Alloa Athletic - Dundee	1:0 ✺
15.07.25	Alloa Athletic - Montrose	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
07.04.18	Alloa Athletic - Stranraer	0:1
24.02.18	Stranraer - Alloa Athletic	1:0
23.12.17	Alloa Athletic - Stranraer	1:0
14.10.17	Stranraer - Alloa Athletic	2:0
29.04.17	Alloa Athletic - Stranraer	1:0
07.01.17	Stranraer - Alloa Athletic	1:2
13.12.16	Alloa Athletic - Stranraer	2:2

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