The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Inverness 61.3%
Draw 23%
Alloa Athletic 15.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.4%
24.9%
15.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.4%
19.4%
20.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Inverness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
The chances for Alloa Athletic have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (-14.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Inverness that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alloa Athletic than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Inverness - Alloa Athletic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Munro R. (G) 14. MacLeod C. 6. Devine D. (C) 5. Savage R. 3. MacIntyre O. 22. Alonge J. 8. Mackinnon A. 19. Stewart A. 36. Bavidge A. 17. Sole L. 23. Zimba C.
31. McFarlane L. (G) 24. Foster O. 6. Dewar C. 2. Taggart S. (C) 20. O'Donnell C. 12. Scougall S. 28. Adamson C. 8. Roberts K. 27. Stewart L. 9. Donnelly L. 14. Gentles J.
Substitutes
7. Allan P. 18. Chalmers J. 4. Davidson J. 11. Longstaff L. 9. McKay B. 12. Robertson M. 21. Ross L. (G) 37. Willox K. 10. Wotherspoon D.
19. Buchanan S. 29. Burnside C. 7. Clarke A. 5. Graham A. 4. Hetherington S. 15. McKay D. 1. Ogayi T. (G) 10. Rankin L. 18. Sammon C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Stewart L. ⚽, Donnelly L. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
53', 1 - 1, Zimba C. ⚽, Stewart A. (A),
55', Devine D. 🟨,
61', Bavidge A. 🟨,
63', Adamson C. 🟨,
65', Roberts K. ↓, Hetherington S. ↑,
65', Donnelly L. ↓, Sammon C. ↑,
69', Dewar C. 🟨,
69', 2 - 1, Alonge J. ⚽, Stewart A. (A),
72', 3 - 1, Zimba C. ⚽,
76', Mackinnon A. ↓, Allan P. ↑,
77', Sole L. ↓, Longstaff L. ↑,
78', Adamson C. ↓, Clarke A. ↑,
78', Gentles J. ↓, Burnside C. ↑,
83', Bavidge A. ↓, McKay B. ↑,
84', Zimba C. ↓, Wotherspoon D. ↑,
90+1', Alonge J. ↓, Chalmers J. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inverness won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Alloa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Inverness has had a series of away games.
In this match, Inverness is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Inverness won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Inverness won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).
Watch
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Munro R. (G) 
Devine D. (C) 
Savage R. 
Gentles J. 
Wotherspoon D. 
Ogayi T. (G) 
Sammon C. 
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