The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alloa Athletic 38.4%
Draw 27.5%
Montrose 34.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.2%
25.4%
23.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
24.4%
22.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alloa Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alloa Athletic's form might have worsened.
Montrose has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montrose's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alloa Athletic than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alloa Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montrose than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montrose, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alloa Athletic - Montrose Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Stewart R. (G) 24. Foster O. 2. Taggart S. (C) 23. Devine D. 20. O'Donnell C. 12. Scougall S. 4. Hetherington S. 15. Walker J. 6. Marchant G. 7. Glasgow K. 10. Rankin L.
1. Gill C. (G) 2. Williamson R. 12. Freeman K. 5. McGinty S. 3. Duffy F. 7. Webster G. (C) 8. Barjonas J. 6. Byrne S. 11. Lyons B. 19. Oliver G. 9. Loudon E.
Substitutes
17. Cameron M. 9. Donnelly L. 16. Ellison J. 27. Farquhar J. 18. Forbes B. 31. Green L. (G) 14. McCafferty F. 5. McGrath J. 8. Roberts K.
20. Bertie K. 21. Campbell M. (G) 24. Clark R. 15. Clelland A. 22. Craig H. 14. Dillon S. 16. Sutherland J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Glasgow K. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Rankin L. ⚽, Taggart S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Byrne S. ↓, Craig H. ↑,
46', Loudon E. ↓, Sutherland J. ↑,
48', Sutherland J. 🟨,
61', McGinty S. 🟨,
66', Hetherington S. 🟨,
67', Marchant G. 🟨,
72', Walker J. ↓, Forbes B. ↑,
72', Marchant G. ↓, Farquhar J. ↑,
75', 3 - 0, Foster O. ⚽,
80', Rankin L. ↓, Donnelly L. ↑,
82', Webster G. ↓, Bertie K. ↑,
83', Williamson R. ↓, Dillon S. ↑,
85', Glasgow K. ↓, Cameron M. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alloa won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Alloa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alloa won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 41:28. (average 2.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Alloa won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 1.8:1.1).
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Stewart R. (G) 
Hetherington S. 
McGinty S. 
Green L. (G) 
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