The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Almansa 29%
Draw 28.1%
Illescas 42.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.7%
28.4%
42.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.6%
21.4%
56.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almansa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
The chances for Illescas have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almansa than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almansa that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (+14%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Illescas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Almansa - Illescas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
Almansa is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Illescas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Illescas will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Almansa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Almansa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.