Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Almazán		Palencia CA

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.1	1.92
	3.76	3.1	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↓ (3.96)	3.1 (3.1)	1.94 (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almazán
24.1%

Draw
29.2%

Palencia CA
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

29.6%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

29%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almazán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Palencia CA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almazán than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Almazán - Palencia CA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Prieto M. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Checa R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Almazán may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Palencia CA might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Almazán won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Almazán won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Almazán
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
15.11.25	Villaralbo - Almazán	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Unionistas B - Almazán	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Almazán - Guijuelo	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Leonesa B - Almazán	2:3 ✺
11.10.25	Almazán - Mojados	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TTWWW
- Palencia CA
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
16.11.25	Palencia CA - Atlético Palencia	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Becerril - Palencia CA	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Palencia CA - Arandina	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Bembibre - Palencia CA	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Palencia CA - Santa Marta Tormes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
17.11.24	Palencia CA - Almazán	3:2
31.03.24	Palencia CA - Almazán	0:1
12.11.23	Almazán - Palencia CA	0:2

Almazán - Palencia CA: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide