Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 8 - ROUND 17

Date: 6 March 2024, Wednesday


	Almazán		Ponferradina B

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.5	5.5
	1.54	3.55	5.48
	1.54	3.55	5.48
	1.48	3.82	6.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.79)	3.61 ↑ (3.24)	5.68 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almazán
59.2%

Draw
25%

Ponferradina B
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

27.8%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

26.7%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almazán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Almazán's performance.

Ponferradina B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ponferradina B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almazán than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almazán that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina B than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ponferradina B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team has got a line of lost games.

In this match Almazán is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Almazán won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Almazán won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Almazán
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
25.02.24	Almazán - Laguna de Tenerife	5:0 ✺
18.02.24	Becerril - Almazán	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	Almazán - Mirandés B	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	La Virgen del Camino - Almazán	2:2 ✺
28.01.24	Almazán - Santa Marta Tormes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLTTW
- Ponferradina B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
03.03.24	Ponferradina B - Colegios Diocesanos	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Atlético Astorga - Ponferradina B	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Ponferradina B - Atlético Tordesillas	0:1 ✺
11.02.24	Atlético Palencia - Ponferradina B	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Ponferradina B - Burgos Promesas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
11.02.23	Ponferradina B - Almazán	3:0
09.10.22	Almazán - Ponferradina B	1:1

Almazán - Ponferradina B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide