Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 8 - ROUND 23

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)


	Ponferradina B		Colegios Diocesanos

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.75	2.6
	2.76	2.76	2.61
	2.81	3.23	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (3.06)	2.91 ↓ (3.1)	2.56 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina B
33.2%

Draw
31.3%

Colegios Diocesanos
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

29.3%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

28.9%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Colegios Diocesanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colegios Diocesanos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina B than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colegios Diocesanos than the current prediction. (+5%)

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Ponferradina B has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Colegios Diocesanos is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ponferradina B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ponferradina B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
24.02.24	Atlético Astorga - Ponferradina B	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Ponferradina B - Atlético Tordesillas	0:1 ✺
11.02.24	Atlético Palencia - Ponferradina B	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Ponferradina B - Burgos Promesas	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Leonesa B - Ponferradina B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLTL
- CD Colegios Diocesanos
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
24.02.24	Colegios Diocesanos - Palencia CA	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Colegios Diocesanos - Atlético Astorga	0:1 ✺
11.02.24	Atlético Tordesillas - Colegios Diocesanos	2:2 ✺
03.02.24	Colegios Diocesanos - Atlético Palencia	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Burgos Promesas - Colegios Diocesanos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
14.10.23	Colegios Diocesanos - Ponferradina B	1:1

Ponferradina B - Colegios Diocesanos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide