Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 8 - ROUND 26

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Almazán		Salamanca

	1	X	2
	6	3.5	1.51
	5.94	3.47	1.54
	5.94	3.47	1.54
	6.92	3.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.2 ↑ (4.42)	3.49 ↓ (3.75)	1.52 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almazán
14.6%

Draw
26%

Salamanca
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

24.2%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

23.7%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almazán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Almazán's form might have worsened.

Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almazán than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almazán, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salamanca than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Hernandez M. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Almazán is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Salamanca is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Salamanca is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Almazán won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Almazán won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Almazán
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
16.03.24	Villaralbo - Almazán	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Almazán - Real Ávila	1:2 ✺
06.03.24	Almazán - Ponferradina B	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Almazán - Laguna de Tenerife	5:0 ✺
18.02.24	Becerril - Almazán	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLWWL
- Salamanca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
16.03.24	Palencia CA - Salamanca	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Salamanca - Villaralbo	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Real Ávila - Salamanca	0:2 ✺
25.02.24	Salamanca - Bembibre	3:0 ✺
18.02.24	Laguna de Tenerife - Salamanca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
05.11.23	Salamanca - Almazán	0:0
22.01.23	Almazán - Salamanca	2:1
17.09.22	Salamanca - Almazán	2:0

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