Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/32-finals

Date: 3 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio El Helmántico (Salamanca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 3
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Mexico	Sky Sport
Portugal	Sport TV2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Spain	M+ Copa Del Rey
World	Disney+


	Salamanca		Celta de Vigo

	1	X	2
	10	4.5	1.33	Watch
	8.75	5	1.35
	8.5	4.75	1.33
	9.48	4.96	1.31
	9.17	5.09	1.32	Watch
	8.5	4.8	1.29
	9.3	5.15	1.34
	8.5	4.75	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.03 ↑ (8.75)	4.88 ↑ (4.4)	1.33 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salamanca
10.3%

Draw
19.2%

Celta de Vigo
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.4%

20.7%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

16.1%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salamanca than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-17.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Celta de Vigo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Salamanca - Celta de Vigo Predictions

Users Predictions: Celta de Vigo will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Villanueva J. (G) 5. Murua J. 4. Casado I. 8. Amaro A. 3. Gassama S. 7. Gonzalez A. 15. Curro 20. Caramelo A. 6. Cristeto C. 22. Juancho 18. Emana S.	1. Villar I. (G) 15. Aidoo J. 24. Dominguez C. 21. Ristic M. 32. Rodriguez J. 33. Sotelo H. 8. Beltran F. 11. Cervi F. 12. Gonzalez A. 19. Swedberg W. 18. Duran P.
Substitutes
17. Ares J. 10. Benito D. 14. Carmona G. 11. Galvan M. 19. Javi Navas 21. Lorenzo O. 23. Oliveira I. 27. Rodriguez Y. 13. Ruiz E. (G) 9. Villajos M.	23. Allende T. 10. Aspas I. 5. Carreira S. 14. de la Torre L. 9. Douvikas A. 13. Guaita V. (G) 29. Lago Y. 28. Lopez F. 3. Mingueza O. 25. Rodriguez D. 2. Starfelt C.
Coaches
Chiapas J.	Giraldez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
5', 0 - 1, Swedberg W. ⚽,
33', Swedberg W. 🟨,
36', 0 - 2, Sotelo H. (Pen),
44', 0 - 3, Duran P. ⚽, Gonzalez A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Swedberg W. ↓, Allende T. ↑,
46', Rodriguez J. ↓, Carreira S. ↑,
51', Curro 🟨,
56', Cervi F. 🟨,
57', Caramelo A. ↓, Ares J. ↑,
62', Sotelo H. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
63', Duran P. ↓, de la Torre L. ↑,
65', 0 - 4, Allende T. ⚽, Gonzalez A. (A),
68', Curro ↓, Galvan M. ↑,
68', Gonzalez A. ↓, Carmona G. ↑,
68', Murua J. ↓, Benito D. ↑,
68', Aidoo J. ↓, Lago Y. ↑,
68', 0 - 5, Dominguez C. ⚽, Ristic M. (A),
76', Emana S. ↓, Lorenzo O. ↑,
78', 0 - 6, Lopez F. ⚽,
83', Benito D. 🟨,
89', 0 - 7, Lopez F. ⚽,

Preview

Salamanca is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Celta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Celta is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salamanca
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
30.11.24	Pontevedra - Salamanca	3:1 ✺
24.11.24	Salamanca - Compostela	2:2 ✺
16.11.24	Valladolid B - Salamanca	0:1 ✺
10.11.24	Salamanca - Real Ávila	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Salamanca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LTWWW
- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
30.11.24	Espanyol - Celta de Vigo	3:1 ✺
23.11.24	Celta de Vigo - Barcelona	2:2 ✺
10.11.24	Betis - Celta de Vigo	2:2 ✺
04.11.24	Celta de Vigo - Getafe	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	UD San Pedro - Celta de Vigo	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTTWW

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