Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 14

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Arandina		Santa Marta Tormes

	1	X	2
	3.05	2.82	2.32
	3.5	3.07	2.11
	3.06	2.98	2.35
	3.34	2.86	2.21
	3.33	3	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.76)	2.95 ↑ (2.77)	2.23 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arandina
28%

Draw
31%

Santa Marta Tormes
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

32.7%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

32.6%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arandina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Santa Marta Tormes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Marta Tormes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Marta Tormes than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Marta Tormes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arandina - Santa Marta Tormes Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Santa Marta Tormes (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Marta Tormes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Galvan M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arandina won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Arandina won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 1.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Arandina won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arandina CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
06.12.25	La Virgen del Camino - Arandina	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Arandina - Atlético Mansillés	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Arandina	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	Palencia CA - Arandina	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Arandina - Villaralbo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTLLW
- UD Santa Marta Tormes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
06.12.25	Santa Marta Tormes - Bembibre	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Santa Marta Tormes - Mirandés B	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	La Virgen del Camino - Santa Marta Tormes	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Santa Marta Tormes - Atlético Mansillés	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Santa Marta Tormes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
01.05.25	Santa Marta Tormes - Arandina	0:0
21.12.24	Arandina - Santa Marta Tormes	2:1
12.02.23	Arandina - Santa Marta Tormes	4:0
09.10.22	Santa Marta Tormes - Arandina	1:4
10.04.22	Arandina - Santa Marta Tormes	1:0
27.11.21	Santa Marta Tormes - Arandina	0:2
31.08.19	Arandina - Santa Marta Tormes	0:2

Arandina - Santa Marta Tormes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide