Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Santa Marta Tormes		Bembibre

	1	X	2
	1.43	3.9	6.5
	1.33	4.43	9.06
	1.44	3.92	7.27	Watch
	1.44	4.35	6.89
	1.4	4	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.75)	4.12 ↑ (3.35)	7.44 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Marta Tormes
65.3%

Draw
22.3%

Bembibre
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

27.2%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

26.3%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Marta Tormes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Marta Tormes's performance.

Bembibre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bembibre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Marta Tormes than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Marta Tormes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bembibre than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bembibre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santa Marta Tormes - Bembibre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Marta Tormes won 1.

Santa Marta Tormes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bembibre has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Santa Marta Tormes is seen as the favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Santa Marta Tormes won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Santa Marta Tormes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.7:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Santa Marta Tormes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
22.11.25	Santa Marta Tormes - Mirandés B	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	La Virgen del Camino - Santa Marta Tormes	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Santa Marta Tormes - Atlético Mansillés	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Santa Marta Tormes	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Santa Marta Tormes - Numancia B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWLW
- CA Bembibre
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
23.11.25	Bembibre - La Virgen del Camino	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Atlético Mansillés - Bembibre	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Bembibre - Atlético Tordesillas	0:4 ✺
01.11.25	Numancia B - Bembibre	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Bembibre - Palencia CA	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
04.05.25	Bembibre - Santa Marta Tormes	2:2
05.01.25	Santa Marta Tormes - Bembibre	0:1
27.04.24	Bembibre - Santa Marta Tormes	2:0
17.12.23	Santa Marta Tormes - Bembibre	3:2
15.04.23	Bembibre - Santa Marta Tormes	2:1
17.12.22	Santa Marta Tormes - Bembibre	1:2
30.04.22	Santa Marta Tormes - Bembibre	4:0

Santa Marta Tormes - Bembibre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide