Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday


	Santa Marta Tormes		Atlético Astorga

	1	X	2
	3.7	3	1.93
	3.75	3.1	1.95
	3.73	3.18	1.86
	3.96	3.27	1.89	Watch
	4.02	3.3	1.83
	3.75	3.1	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (3.6)	3.16 ↑ (3)	1.9 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Marta Tormes
23.7%

Draw
28.7%

Atlético Astorga
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

30%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

31.4%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Marta Tormes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Atlético Astorga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Marta Tormes than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Santa Marta Tormes - Atlético Astorga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Vales I. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 1 - 1, Anselmo Gonzalez M. ⚽,
67', 2 - 1, Anselmo Gonzalez M. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Santa Marta Tormes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
06.12.24	Atlético Palencia - Santa Marta Tormes	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Santa Marta Tormes - Becerril	2:1 ✺
17.11.24	Villaralbo - Santa Marta Tormes	0:1 ✺
10.11.24	Santa Marta Tormes - Briviesca	1:1 ✺
01.11.24	Mojados - Santa Marta Tormes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TWWTW
- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
07.12.24	Atlético Astorga - Villaralbo	3:1 ✺
30.11.24	Briviesca - Atlético Astorga	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Atlético Astorga - Mojados	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	Burgos Promesas - Atlético Astorga	3:1 ✺
09.11.24	Atlético Astorga - La Virgen del Camino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
03.03.24	Santa Marta Tormes - Atlético Astorga	0:2
14.10.23	Atlético Astorga - Santa Marta Tormes	0:1
05.02.23	Santa Marta Tormes - Atlético Astorga	2:3
01.10.22	Atlético Astorga - Santa Marta Tormes	4:0
26.02.22	Atlético Astorga - Santa Marta Tormes	2:1
16.10.21	Santa Marta Tormes - Atlético Astorga	1:1
19.12.20	Atlético Astorga - Santa Marta Tormes	2:1

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