Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 20

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos (Almería)

Referee: Busquets Ferrer M. (Esp)


	Almería		Girona

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.1	1.67	Watch
	4.2	4.1	1.72
	4.2	4.33	1.75	Watch
	4.6	4.15	1.75
	4.61	4.13	1.75
	4.33	4.2	1.65
	4.42	4.42	1.78	Watch
	4.7	4.3	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↓ (4.72)	4.22 ↓ (4.26)	1.72 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Almería
21.5%

Draw
22.8%

Girona
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

22.4%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

21.8%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.7%	4.9%	89.4%

Almería - Girona Predictions

Users Predictions: Girona will win (110 of 123 users predict this - 89.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84% – 94.86%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Maximiano L. (G) 18. Pubill M. 22. Montes C. 3. Gonzalez E. 21. Chumi 15. Akieme S. 19. Arribas S. 5. Robertone L. (C) 6. Lopy D. 10. Embarba A. 12. Leo Baptistao	13. Gazzaniga P. (G) 4. Martinez A. 15. Juanpe (C) 17. Blind D. 3. Gutierrez M. 20. Couto Y. 23. Martin I. 14. Garcia A. 11. Valery 18. Torre P. 9. Dovbyk A.
Substitutes
20. Centelles A. 2. Kaiky 14. Lazaro 1. Marino D. (G) 13. Martinez F. (G) 11. Melero G. 29. Milovanovic M. 17. Pozo A. 7. Ramazani L. 9. Suarez L. 33. Svidersky M.	26. Fuidias T. (G) 21. Herrera Y. 1. Juan Carlos (G) 6. Kebe I. 27. Monjonell E. 24. Portu 16. Savio 22. Solis Romero J. E. 7. Stuani C. 8. Tsygankov V.
Coaches
Garitano G.	Michel

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almería won 2.

Almería has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Girona is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Almería could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Almería have a series of guest games.

In this match Girona is a favorite.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Almería won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 27-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Almería won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga
04.01.24	Osasuna - Almería	1:0 ✺
20.12.23	Barcelona - Almería	3:2 ✺
17.12.23	Almería - Mallorca	0:0 ✺
10.12.23	Atlético Madrid - Almería	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.12.23	Barbastro - Almería	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL
- Girona FC
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.24	Elche - Girona	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
03.01.24	Girona - Atlético Madrid	4:3 ✺
21.12.23	Betis - Girona	1:1 ✺
18.12.23	Girona - Deportivo Alavés	3:0 ✺
10.12.23	Barcelona - Girona	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
22.10.23	Girona - Almería	5:2
17.02.23	Girona - Almería	6:2
20.10.22	Almería - Girona	3:2
Spanish LaLiga2
27.03.22	Almería - Girona	0:1
04.10.21	Girona - Almería	1:2
05.06.21	Almería - Girona	0:0
02.06.21	Girona - Almería	3:0

Upcoming Matches