Match Info

LaLiga - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Canal 5, Sky Sport, VIX+, ViX Premium
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN 4 South
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Elche		Girona

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.9	Watch
	2.12	3.35	3.55	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.77
	2.12	3.36	3.61	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.6
	2.09	3.32	3.98	Watch
	2.12	3.25	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.15)	3.31 ↓ (3.5)	3.72 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche
45.5%

Draw
28.9%

Girona
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

27.1%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

27.7%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.5%	21.1%	18.4%

Elche - Girona Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Elche will win (votes: 23 - 62.2%). Girona will win (votes: 6 - 16.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 21.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 46.6% – 77.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Elche (votes: 3 - 60%). Girona (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Pena I. (G) 23. Chust V. 22. Affengruber D. 6. Bigas P. (C) 15. Nunez A. 19. Diangana G. 8. Aguado M. 14. Febas A. 11. Valera G. 39. Fort H. 10. Mir R.	13. Gazzaniga P. (G) 16. Frances A. 12. Vitor Reis 17. Blind D. 24. Moreno A. 10. Asprilla Y. 20. Witsel A. 23. Martin I. (C) 15. Tsygankov V. 19. Vanat V. 21. Gil B.
Substitutes
32. Boayar A. 4. Diaby B. 1. Dituro M. (G) 18. Donald J. 17. Josan 30. Mendoza R. 16. Neto M. 3. Pedrosa A. 21. Petrot L. 5. Redondo Solari F. 20. Rodriguez A. 7. Santiago Y.	43. Andreev A. (G) 32. Arango J. 27. Arnau P. 44. Ba P. 28. Jordana G. 29. Kourouma L. 11. Lemar T. 1. Livakovic D. (G) 4. Martinez A. 2. Rincon H. 3. Roca J. 22. Solis Romero J. E.
Coaches
Sarabia E.	Michel

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Gil B. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Valera G. ⚽, Fort H. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Diangana G. ↓, Mendoza R. ↑,
51', 2 - 0, Mir R. ⚽, Fort H. (A),
57', 3 - 0, Mir R. ⚽,
59', Bigas P. ↓, Petrot L. ↑,
59', Fort H. ↓, Josan ↑,
66', Witsel A. ↓, Solis Romero J. E. ↑,
66', Vanat V. ↓, Lemar T. ↑,
66', Asprilla Y. ↓, Roca J. ↑,
71', Valera G. ↓, Pedrosa A. ↑,
72', Frances A. ↓, Rincon H. ↑,
82', Aguado M. ↓, Donald J. ↑,
83', Tsygankov V. ↓, Arango J. ↑,
85', Arango J. 🟨,
87', Martin I. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elche won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Elche may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Elche could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Girona: Artero R. (Ankle Injury) Juan Carlos (Knee Injury) Krapyvtsov V. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lopez D. (Hamstring Injury) Ounahi A. (Yellow Cards) Portu (Knee Injury) Ruiz A. (Muscle Injury) Stuani C. (Calf Injury) van de Beek D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Elche won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 0.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Elche won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.6:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Elche - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 44.17%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Quintanar del Rey - Elche	1:2 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga
28.11.25	Getafe - Elche	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Elche - Real Madrid	2:2 ✺
07.11.25	Elche - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Barcelona - Elche	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLTTL
- Girona FC
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Ourense CF - Girona	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.11.25	Girona - Real Madrid	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Betis - Girona	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Girona - Deportivo Alavés	1:0 ✺
31.10.25	Getafe - Girona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.24	Elche - Girona	0:2
Spanish LaLiga
16.04.23	Girona - Elche	2:0
08.11.22	Elche - Girona	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
23.08.20	Girona - Elche	0:1
20.08.20	Elche - Girona	0:0
19.06.20	Elche - Girona	1:0
12.10.19	Girona - Elche	0:2

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