Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 11

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday


	Almeria B		Don Benito

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	3.9
	1.77	3.45	4.1
	1.81	3.3	4.43
	1.83	3.38	4.06
	1.8	3.45	4.22
	1.77	3.45	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.69)	3.41 ↓ (3.77)	4.14 ↓ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almeria B
51.1%

Draw
26.8%

Don Benito
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

24.3%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

23.6%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almeria B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Don Benito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almeria B than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Almeria B - Don Benito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Tejon P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 1, Gomez V. ⚽,
57', 2 - 1, Sanchez L. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Almeria B is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Don Benito is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Don Benito could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Almeria B is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Almeria B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Almeria B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almeria B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.11.24	Minera - Almeria B	1:3 ✺
27.10.24	Almeria B - San Fernando	2:1 ✺
20.10.24	Almeria B - Xerez CD	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Antoniano - Almeria B	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Almeria B - La Unión	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWTL
- CD Don Benito
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.11.24	Don Benito - Antoniano	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.24	Don Benito - FC Andorra	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
27.10.24	La Unión - Don Benito	3:1 ✺
20.10.24	Don Benito - Granada B	0:1 ✺
13.10.24	Linares Deportivo - Don Benito	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.02.19	Don Benito - Almeria B	1:0
23.09.18	Almeria B - Don Benito	4:1

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