Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 33

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Power Horse Stadium (Almería)

Referee: Mallo E. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 2
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Portugal	DAZN 2
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Sweden	TV4 Play
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
World	DirecTV Sports


	Almería		Levante

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.8	Watch
	2	3.2	3.5
	1.98	3.4	3.7	Watch
	2.01	3.25	4.08	Watch
	2.07	3.04	4.17	Watch
	1.98	3.4	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.97)	3.28 ↑ (3.05)	3.83 ↓ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almería
46.9%

Draw
28.6%

Levante
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

30.9%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

34.8%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almería, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levante than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Levante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

Almería - Levante Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Levante will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maximiano L. (G) 18. Pubill M. 3. Gonzalez E. 16. Radovanovic A. 24. Langa B. 6. Lopy D. 8. Melero G. 2. Puigmal A. 5. Robertone L. (C) 10. Melamed N. 9. Suarez L.	1. Fernandez A. (G) 4. Dela 5. Elgezabal U. 18. Miquel I. 16. Varela Pampin D. 24. Alvarez C. 6. Kochorashvili G. 20. Rey O. 23. Martinez P. (C) 9. Romero I. 7. Brugue R.
Substitutes
11. Arribas S. 20. Centelles A. 23. Clua Oya S. . Fidel Cedillo Segura P. 27. Gui Guedes 4. Kaiky 7. Lazaro 12. Leo Baptistao 19. Marezi 13. Martinez F. (G) 36. Perovic M. 17. Pozo A.	14. Cabello J. 38. Espi C. 30. Fernandez V. 19. Fores A. 10. Iborra V. 21. Lozano S. 11. Morales J. 29. Navarro M. 13. Pastor A. (G) 22. Sanchez M. 31. Xavi Grande
Coaches
Rubi	Calero J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Lopy D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Puigmal A. ↓, Arribas S. ↑,
54', Brugue R. 🟨,
63', Melero G. ↓, Lazaro ↑,
63', Melamed N. ↓, Leo Baptistao ↑,
67', Brugue R. ↓, Morales J. ↑,
80', Miquel I. 🟨,
81', Morales J. 🟨,
81', 1 - 0, Suarez L. (Pen),
85', Romero I. ↓, Fores A. ↑,
85', Miquel I. ↓, Espi C. ↑,
90', Langa B. ↓, Centelles A. ↑,
90', Suarez L. ↓, Kaiky ↑,
90+5', Kochorashvili G. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almería won 1.

Recent matches Almería is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Levante in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Levante could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Almería will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Almería: Baba I. (Knee Injury) Chumi (Muscle Injury) Fettal R. (Knee Injury) Leo Baptistao (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Almería: Robertone L. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Almería won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:20 (average 1:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Almería won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
21.03.25	Burgos - Almería	3:1 ✺
15.03.25	Almería - Zaragoza	4:1 ✺
07.03.25	Eibar - Almería	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Almería - Málaga	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	Sporting de Gijón - Almería	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLTT
- Levante UD
Spanish LaLiga2
23.03.25	Levante - Castellón	3:2 ✺
16.03.25	Huesca - Levante	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Levante - Cartagena	3:0 ✺
02.03.25	Eldense - Levante	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Levante - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
29.09.24	Levante - Almería	4:2
Club Friendly
25.07.19	Levante - Almería	2:0
22.07.17	Levante - Almería	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
19.03.17	Levante - Almería	1:0
09.10.16	Almería - Levante	2:2
Club Friendly
06.08.16	Levante - Almería	2:2
Spanish LaLiga
04.04.15	Almería - Levante	1:4

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