Match Info

ARGENTINA: Copa Argentina - 1/32-finals

Date: 15 May 2024, Wednesday


	Almirante Brown		San Martín de Tucumán

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.1	2.8	1.9
	4.2	3	2.05	Watch
	3.6	2.89	1.93
	4.33	2.9	1.91
	4.31	2.96	1.96	Watch
	4.1	3	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (3.72)	2.93 ↓ (3.06)	1.96 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almirante Brown
22.2%

Draw
31.2%

San Martín de Tucumán
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

29.8%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

28.6%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almirante Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

San Martín de Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Almirante Brown - San Martín de Tucumán Predictions

Users Predictions: San Martín de Tucumán will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Almada T. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Gauna S. ⚽,
38', 3 - 0, Diaz T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
56', 3 - 1, Banegas N. ⚽,
80', 3 - 2, Banegas N. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 3, Klusener G. ⚽,
Penalties (3 - 1)
1, Vera S. (Pen),
1, Klusener G. (Pen),
2, Iglesias L. (Pen),
2, Arias J. (Pen),
3, Gauna S. (Pen),
3, Hernandez P. (Pen),
4, Stable F. (Pen),
4, Moreno N. (Pen),
5, Mino F. (Pen),

Preview

Neutral location.

Almirante Brown has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches San Martín de Tucumán is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match San Martín de Tucumán is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almirante Brown won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Almirante Brown won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.05.24	Chaco For Ever - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
04.05.24	Almirante Brown - Defensores de Belgrano	0:2 ✺
27.04.24	Club Almagro - Almirante Brown	1:0 ✺
22.04.24	Almirante Brown - Brown de Adrogué	1:2 ✺
17.04.24	Almirante Brown - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLLL
- San Martín de Tucumán
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.05.24	Tristán Suárez - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0 ✺
04.05.24	San Martín de Tucumán - All Boys	0:0 ✺
27.04.24	Agropecuario Argentino - San Martín de Tucumán	0:1 ✺
19.04.24	San Martín de Tucumán - Guillermo Brown	0:0 ✺
14.04.24	San Martín de San Juan - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.10.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Almirante Brown	0:0
27.05.23	Almirante Brown - San Martín de Tucumán	1:0
24.09.22	San Martín de Tucumán - Almirante Brown	2:0
04.09.21	Almirante Brown - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0
26.04.21	San Martín de Tucumán - Almirante Brown	2:2

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