Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 16

Date: 23 May 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento (Isidro Casanova)

Referee: Acita F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Almirante Brown		Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.63	2.6	Watch
	3.1	2.65	2.45
	3.3	2.6	2.5	Watch
	3.47	2.64	2.76
	3.39	2.53	2.67	Watch
	3.1	2.75	2.5
	3.37	2.6	2.58	Watch
	3.3	2.6	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (3.14)	2.63 ↓ (3.02)	2.57 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almirante Brown
28.2%

Draw
35.5%

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

30.6%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

29.6%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almirante Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	90%	0%

Almirante Brown - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Almirante Brown will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 71.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez R. (G) 4. Cardozo E. 2. Iribarren N. 6. Levi M. 3. Villoldo T. 8. Vazquez J. 5. Cenci B. 7. Acosta N. 10. Almada T. 9. Gonzalez R. 11. Villalba S.	1. Olivera B. (G) 4. Antonini J. 2. Maffini G. (C) 6. Ojeda S. 3. Angelini L. 8. Morales A. 5. Cabrera A. 7. Vazquez F. 10. Orosco B. 9. Fontana A. 11. Valiente M.
Substitutes
17. Belloso M. 12. Galvan B. (G) 20. Garcia D. 18. Garcia F. 16. Gauna S. 15. Machado W. 19. Portillo S. 13. Varela C. 14. Zacaria J.	18. Alvarez F. 12. Bigo J. (G) 13. Cobos F. 15. Fenoglio V. 19. Ferreira J. 20. Gonzalez L. 16. Gudino G. 14. Ruiz M. 17. Tevez M.
Coaches
Szeszurak G.	Delfino I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Cabrera A. ⚽,
31', Cenci B. 🟨,
34', Villoldo T. 🟨,
34', Cenci B. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
40', Levi M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Almada T. ↓, Machado W. ↑,
46', Levi M. ↓, Zacaria J. ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Morales A. ⚽,
58', Vazquez J. ↓, Gauna S. ↑,
60', Olivera B. 🟨,
71', Villalba S. ↓, Portillo S. ↑,
80', Orosco B. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
83', Morales A. ↓, Cobos F. ↑,
84', Valiente M. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
85', Gauna S. 🟨,
88', Fontana A. ↓, Ruiz M. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almirante Brown won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Almirante Brown may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Almirante Brown won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Almirante Brown won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.05.25	Almirante Brown - Chacarita Juniors	1:3 ✺
03.05.25	San Telmo - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Almirante Brown - Agropecuario Argentino	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Almirante Brown	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Almirante Brown - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWTLT
- Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.05.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Chaco For Ever	0:0 ✺
11.05.25	Mitre - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Colón	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Temperley - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Defensores Unidos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.07.24	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Almirante Brown	0:1
17.04.24	Almirante Brown - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:3
16.09.23	Almirante Brown - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:2
06.05.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Almirante Brown	2:0
02.07.22	Almirante Brown - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:2
04.10.21	Almirante Brown - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:1
10.06.21	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Almirante Brown	0:0

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