Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 21

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento (Isidro Casanova)

Referee: Sosa N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Almirante Brown		Temperley

	1	X	2
	3.75	2.6	2.3	Watch
	2.7	2.7	2.75
	3.46	2.72	2.31	Watch
	3.75	2.73	2.42
				Watch
	2.8	2.75	2.7
	3.59	2.68	2.32	Watch
	2.82	2.68	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.89)	2.69 ↑ (2.59)	2.51 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almirante Brown
28.5%

Draw
34.5%

Temperley
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

35.8%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

36.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almirante Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Temperley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Temperley than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Temperley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Almirante Brown - Temperley Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Temperley will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Temperley (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galvan B. (G) 4. Alegre Rojas G. 2. Dattola A. 6. Iribarren N. 3. Abreliano M. 8. Velazquez J. 5. Cenci B. 7. Acuna M. 10. Gauna S. 9. Villalba S. 11. Belloso M.	1. Mastrolia E. (G) 2. Duarte B. 6. Lamosa A. 3. Aguinagalde V. 8. Esparza G. 5. Arregui A. 10. Nieto L. 11. Genez N. 4. Monti L. 7. Brandan F. 9. Lopez L.
Substitutes
18. Acosta N. 16. Almada T. 19. Brito 17. Escalante L. 15. Iglesias L. 12. Martinez R. (G) 13. Pizarro P. 20. Portillo S. 14. Varela C.	17. Ayunta F. 19. Carrasco J. 18. Frias J. 13. Lucero L. 14. Magallanes D. 12. Morrone L. (G) 16. Pombo C. 15. Toledo A. 20. Toledo J.
Coaches
Szeszurak G.	Forestello R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Velazquez J. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
57', Lopez L. ↓, Ayunta F. ↑,
59', Almada T. 🟨,
67', Arregui A. ↓, Toledo A. ↑,
67', Nieto L. ↓, Toledo J. ↑,
67', Arregui A. 🟨,
81', Belloso M. ↓, Portillo S. ↑,
81', Acuna M. ↓, Acosta N. ↑,
81', Gauna S. ↓, Iglesias L. ↑,
82', Brandan F. ↓, Carrasco J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almirante Brown won 1.

Almirante Brown has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Temperley is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Almirante Brown has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Almirante Brown won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Almirante Brown won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Almirante Brown - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 32.08%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Temperley - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 32.08%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.06.25	Defensores Unidos - Almirante Brown	1:1 ✺
22.06.25	Almirante Brown - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1 ✺
14.06.25	Deportivo Morón - Almirante Brown	2:0 ✺
06.06.25	Defensores de Belgrano - Almirante Brown	1:1 ✺
01.06.25	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Almirante Brown	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLLTW
- CA Temperley
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.06.25	Temperley - Chaco For Ever	2:2 ✺
22.06.25	Mitre - Temperley	2:2 ✺
14.06.25	Temperley - Colón	2:1 ✺
06.06.25	Estudiantes de Caseros - Temperley	0:0 ✺
02.06.25	Nueva Chicago - Temperley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.03.25	Temperley - Almirante Brown	2:0
01.09.24	Almirante Brown - Temperley	0:0
13.04.24	Temperley - Almirante Brown	1:1
16.10.23	Almirante Brown - Temperley	2:0
03.06.23	Temperley - Almirante Brown	1:1
12.06.22	Temperley - Almirante Brown	1:1
11.10.21	Temperley - Almirante Brown	0:0

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