The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensores Unidos 29.2%
Draw 33%
Almirante Brown 37.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.9%
30.6%
32.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
29.1%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensores Unidos's form might have worsened.
Almirante Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Almirante Brown's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensores Unidos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Almirante Brown, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
50%
33.3%
Defensores Unidos - Almirante Brown Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Defensores Unidos will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Almirante Brown will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
. Aquino M. (G) . Ferreyra T. . Marchesini F. . Rassol F. . Ortiz B. . Arguello J. . Tello H. . Caballo M. . Ceratto L. . Gimenez M. . Toledo A.
. Martinez R. (G) . Cardozo E. . Dattola A. . Levi M. . Zacaria J. . Gauna S. . Cenci B. . Acosta N. . Garcia D. . Gonzalez R. . Flores G.
Coaches
Davio S.
Szeszurak G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Acosta N. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
59', Portillo S. ↓, Flores G. ↑,
61', Toledo A. ↓, Aguirre D. E. ↑,
61', Rocca J. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
63', Sanchez S. 🟨,
70', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
71', Caballo M. ↓, Heredia C. ↑,
71', Gimenez M. ↓, Ceratto L. ↑,
72', Gonzalez R. ↓, Belloso M. ↑,
78', Tello H. ↓, Salvo D. ↑,
84', Ceratto L. 🟨,
85', Abreliano M. 🟨,
86', 1 - 0, Ceratto L. ⚽,
89', Garcia D. ↓, Villalba S. ↑,
90+2', Villalba S. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 1, Almada T. ⚽,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensores Unidos won 0.
Defensores Unidos has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Almirante Brown has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Defensores Unidos won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Defensores Unidos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).