Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Alondras		Barbadás

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.15	4.55
	1.78	3.33	4.58	Watch
	1.7	3.25	4.75
	1.65	3.32	5.15
	1.69	3.25	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.56)	3.26 ↓ (3.65)	4.81 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alondras
53.1%

Draw
27.9%

Barbadás
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

25.1%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

24%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alondras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alondras's form might have worsened.

Barbadás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alondras than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alondras, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barbadás than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Alondras - Barbadás Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Alondras is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alondras won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Alondras won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Alondras	5	3	0	2	10:9	1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alondras CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
11.01.26	Viveiro - Alondras	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Lugo B - Alondras	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Alondras - Gran Peña	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Silva SD - Alondras	0:3 ✺
23.11.25	Alondras - Céltiga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLTWW
- UD Barbadás
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
11.01.26	Barbadás - Lugo B	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Gran Peña - Barbadás	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Barbadás - Silva SD	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Céltiga - Barbadás	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Barbadás - Juventud Cambados	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
08.03.25	Barbadás - Alondras	1:2
27.10.24	Alondras - Barbadás	2:0
28.03.24	Barbadás - Alondras	2:1
29.10.23	Alondras - Barbadás	2:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
25.03.18	Alondras - Barbadás	1:0

Alondras - Barbadás: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide