Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Barbadás |
|
Lugo B |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.98 |
2.92 |
2.32 |
|
 |
2.9 |
2.88 |
2.3 |
|
 |
3 |
3.13 |
2.4 |
|
 |
3.14 |
2.75 |
2.4 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.01 ↓ (3.05) |
2.92 ↓ (3.25) |
2.36 ↑ (2.18) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Barbadás 30.3% | Draw 31.1% | Lugo B 38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barbadás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Lugo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barbadás than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo B than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugo B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Barbadás - Lugo B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 77', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).Barbadás is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Lugo B has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). Lugo B could have a small edge in this match. Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;