Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Alondras		Céltiga

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Alondras
39.1%

Draw
29.5%

Céltiga
31.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43%

28.1%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

28.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alondras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Céltiga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alondras than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Céltiga than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).

Alondras is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Céltiga is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Alondras will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alondras CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
16.11.25	Juventud Cambados - Alondras	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Alondras - Boiro	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Barco - Alondras	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Alondras - Compostela	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Estradense - Alondras	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTTLL
- Céltiga FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
16.11.25	Céltiga - Lugo B	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Gran Peña - Céltiga	2:4 ✺
02.11.25	Céltiga - Silva SD	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Céltiga - Viveiro	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Juventud Cambados - Céltiga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TWWWW

Alondras - Céltiga