Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Alondras		Compostela

	1	X	2
	3.75	3	1.95
	3.76	3.08	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (3.75)	3.04 ↑ (3)	1.96 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alondras
24.1%

Draw
29.8%

Compostela
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

30%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

29.1%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alondras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Compostela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alondras than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Alondras - Compostela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Alondras is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Compostela is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Compostela will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alondras won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.8:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Alondras won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alondras CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
19.10.25	Estradense - Alondras	4:0 ✺
12.10.25	Alondras - Somozas	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	Montañeros - Alondras	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Alondras - Arosa	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Atlético Arteixo - Alondras	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTLW
- SD Compostela
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
19.10.25	Compostela - Lugo B	3:2 ✺
12.10.25	Gran Peña - Compostela	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Compostela - Silva SD	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Compostela - Juventud Cambados	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Boiro - Compostela	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
19.01.20	Compostela - Alondras	1:0
03.02.19	Compostela - Alondras	4:1
09.09.18	Alondras - Compostela	2:3
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
08.04.18	Compostela - Alondras	1:0

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