Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 13

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday


	Alondras		Polvorín

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.95	2.95
	2.24	3.05	3.05
	2.25	2.74	3.22
	2.28	2.87	3.32
	2.23	2.91	3.27
	2.24	3.05	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.4)	2.93 ↓ (3)	3.14 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alondras
40.4%

Draw
30.9%

Polvorín
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

30.3%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

30.6%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alondras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Polvorín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alondras than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polvorín than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Alondras - Polvorín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Goitia P. ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, Camba L. ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 2 - 2, ⚽,
84', 3 - 2, Lopez F. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alondras won 1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Alondras won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Alondras won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alondras CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
24.11.24	RC Villalbes - Alondras	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Alondras - Noia	0:0 ✺
10.11.24	Viveiro - Alondras	2:3 ✺
03.11.24	Alondras - Sarriana	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Alondras - Barbadás	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LTWWW
- Polvorín FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
24.11.24	Polvorín - Silva SD	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Estradense - Polvorín	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Polvorín - Gran Peña	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Somozas - Polvorín	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	Polvorín - Boiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
23.03.24	Alondras - Polvorín	0:0
05.11.23	Polvorín - Alondras	1:2
26.02.22	Alondras - Polvorín	1:2
18.04.21	Polvorín - Alondras	2:1
29.09.19	Polvorín - Alondras	3:1
16.12.18	Alondras - Polvorín	1:0

Alondras - Polvorín: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide