Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 6

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Municipal Stadium Alpendorada (Alpendorada) 🌤️ ...


	Alpendorada		Castro Daire

	1	X	2
	2.00	2.95	3.60
	1.98	2.95	3.60
	2.01	2.82	3.65
	2.03	3.05	3.67	Watch
	1.97	2.75	3.55
	1.95	3.10	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.92)	2.94 ↓ (3.3)	3.62 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alpendorada
44.9%

Draw
30.4%

Castro Daire
24.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.8%

27.8%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alpendorada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Castro Daire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Alpendorada - Castro Daire Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
75', 2 - 1, ⚽,
77', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 12th in the Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group (Relegation Group: ) and 4th).

Alpendorada is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Castro Daire could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Alpendorada holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Alpendorada has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:1 (averaging 0.5:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Alpendorada against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Castro Daire	6	2	3	1	7:5	2	9
11	FC Alpendorada	6	1	2	3	6:9	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alpendorada
Taça de Portugal
18.10.26	Alpendorada - Casa Pia	0:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.10.26	Cinfães - Alpendorada	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Alpendorada - Machico	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Sanjoanense - Alpendorada	3:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
30.08.26	Rebordosa - Alpendorada	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTLLW
- AD Castro Daire
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.10.26	Castro Daire - Salgueiros 08	0:0 ✺
04.10.26	Castro Daire - Estrela da Calheta	3:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.09.26	Castro Daire - Portimonense	0:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.09.26	Beira-Mar - Castro Daire	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Sousense - Castro Daire	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.02.23	Alpendorada - Castro Daire	1:0
23.10.22	Castro Daire - Alpendorada	1:0

Alpendorada - Castro Daire