Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 17

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday


	Alpendorada		Castro Daire

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.75	2.95
	2.3	2.75	3.05
	2.54	2.77	3.16
	2.35	3.02	2.93
	2.37	2.95	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.29)	2.85 ↓ (2.94)	3.01 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alpendorada
38%

Draw
31.8%

Castro Daire
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

30.7%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

29.3%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alpendorada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Castro Daire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro Daire than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Alpendorada - Castro Daire Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alpendorada won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alpendorada
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.01.23	Beira-Mar - Alpendorada	2:1 ✺
22.01.23	Alpendorada - Marítimo B	2:0 ✺
15.01.23	Guarda Desportiva - Alpendorada	2:2 ✺
08.01.23	Lusitânia - Alpendorada	2:1 ✺
18.12.22	Alpendorada - Gondomar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWTLL
- AD Castro Daire
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.01.23	Castro Daire - Valadares Gaia	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Camacha - Castro Daire	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	Castro Daire - Machico	0:1 ✺
18.12.22	Resende - Castro Daire	2:2 ✺
11.12.22	Beira-Mar - Castro Daire	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
23.10.22	Castro Daire - Alpendorada	1:0

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