Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 19

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Municipal Stadium Alpendorada (Alpendorada)


	Alpendorada		Cinfães

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.92	3.75
	2.08	2.87	3.78	Watch
	2.1	2.7	3.5
	2.05	2.86	3.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.07)	2.84 ↓ (2.88)	3.71 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alpendorada
43.9%

Draw
31.8%

Cinfães
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

31.5%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

31.2%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Alpendorada have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Cinfães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cinfães than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Alpendorada - Cinfães Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 9).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Alpendorada may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Alpendorada will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alpendorada won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Alpendorada won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cinfaes	4	1	2	1	6:5	1	5
11	FC Alpendorada	4	1	0	3	4:7	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alpendorada
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.02.26	Florgrade - Alpendorada	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Alpendorada - Leça	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Vila Real - Alpendorada	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Alpendorada - Rebordosa	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Aparecida - Alpendorada	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTTTL
- Cinfães
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.02.26	Cinfães - Vila Meã	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Cinfães - Florgrade	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Leça - Cinfães	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Cinfães - Vila Real	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Rebordosa - Cinfães	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.10.25	Cinfães - Alpendorada	0:0
06.04.25	Cinfães - Alpendorada	1:3
15.12.24	Alpendorada - Cinfães	0:2
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Alpendorada - Cinfães	1:2 ET

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