Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 17

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Municipal Stadium Alpendorada (Alpendorada)


	Alpendorada		Leça

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.1	2.38
	3.13	2.86	2.29
	3.04	2.96	2.34	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.25
	3.01	3.22	2.29
	3.2	2.83	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.3)	2.98 ↑ (2.95)	2.3 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alpendorada
30.2%

Draw
30.4%

Leça
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

29.4%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alpendorada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alpendorada's form might have worsened.

Leça has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leça's recent form is better than expected.

Alpendorada - Leça Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Alpendorada has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alpendorada won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Alpendorada won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	FC Alpendorada	4	1	0	3	4:7	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alpendorada
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
25.01.26	Vila Real - Alpendorada	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Alpendorada - Rebordosa	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Aparecida - Alpendorada	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Resende - Alpendorada	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Alpendorada - Salgueiros 08	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TTLTL
- Leça FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
25.01.26	Leça - Cinfães	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Florgrade - Leça	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Leça - Vila Meã	4:3 ✺
14.12.25	Leça - Rebordosa	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Aparecida - Leça	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.09.25	Leça - Alpendorada	0:0
19.01.25	Alpendorada - Leça	1:1
25.08.24	Leça - Alpendorada	3:0
12.02.23	Leça - Alpendorada	0:1
30.10.22	Alpendorada - Leça	2:1

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