Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 12

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Municipal Stadium Alpendorada (Alpendorada)


	Alpendorada		Salgueiros 08

	1	X	2
	2.28	2.82	3.15
	2.29	2.75	3.27
	2.34	2.77	3.28	Watch
	2.25	2.75	3.2
	2.3	2.94	3.27
	2.28	2.75	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.02)	2.8 ↓ (2.9)	3.24 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alpendorada
39.6%

Draw
32.4%

Salgueiros 08
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

31.3%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

30.7%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alpendorada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alpendorada's form might have worsened.

Salgueiros 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alpendorada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salgueiros 08 than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Alpendorada - Salgueiros 08 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 🟥,
61', 1 - 1, ⚽,
87', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+9', 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 7).

Alpendorada is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Salgueiros has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Alpendorada will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alpendorada won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Alpendorada won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alpendorada
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
07.12.25	Beira-Mar - Alpendorada	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Alpendorada - Anadia	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.11.25	Alpendorada - Casa Pia	0:3 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.11.25	Gouveia - Alpendorada	0:3 ✺
02.11.25	Alpendorada - União Lamas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWLWW
- SC Salgueiros 08
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
07.12.25	Salgueiros 08 - Cinfães	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Florgrade - Salgueiros 08	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Salgueiros 08 - Leça	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Vila Real - Salgueiros 08	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Salgueiros 08 - Rebordosa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
23.02.25	Salgueiros 08 - Alpendorada	0:0
27.10.24	Alpendorada - Salgueiros 08	0:1
02.04.23	Alpendorada - Salgueiros 08	0:1
11.12.22	Salgueiros 08 - Alpendorada	5:4

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