Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 22

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadi (Izmir)

Referee: Olcar B. (Tur)


	Altay		Erzurumspor

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.6	1.62	Watch
	4.8	3.6	1.57
	5	4	1.66	Watch
	4.98	3.7	1.6
	5.89	3.79	1.63
	5	3.7	1.53
	5.26	3.74	1.61
	5	4	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.21 ↑ (5.13)	3.77 ↓ (3.82)	1.61 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altay
17.8%

Draw
24.6%

Erzurumspor
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

24.5%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

23.1%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altay than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Altay - Erzurumspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Erzurumspor will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ozenc O. (G) 17. Sarikaya S. 44. Altunbudak K. 5. Ozdemir S. 88. Ozkaya O. (C) 30. Baycan C. 6. Gulselam C. 23. Demir M. 28. Gunduz M. 7. Erdogan E. 99. Kucukdeniz N.	1. Bakirbas G. (G) 77. Hanalp C. 53. Ovacikli O. 22. Yumlu M. (C) 2. Akbas M. 19. Budak U. 7. Koc S. 8. Akgun S. 18. Sert O. 20. Ozhan M. 10. Tozlu E.
Substitutes
77. Efe O. 32. Gezer A. 25. Gundem T. 34. Ogruce E. 24. Ozcam E. 13. Ozcelik U. (G) 3. Tekin Y. 11. Uluc M. 20. Yetkin E. 9. Yildiz M.	5. Artarslan B. 23. Bayrak C. 3. Kirtay Y. 9. Mevlutoglu H. 14. Ozfesli A. 17. Rosheuvel M. 24. Shala H. 99. Varlik G. 13. Yagci O. (G) 16. Yavas M. E.
Coaches
Bicer C.	Kutlu H.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Altay won 2.

Recent matches Altay is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Erzurumspor is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Erzurumspor is a favorite.

There are questionable in Erzurumspor: Bayrak C. (Knee Injury) Sasi F. (Muscle Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Altay won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Altay won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altay SK
Turkish First League
03.02.24	Göztepe - Altay	4:0 ✺
28.01.24	Altay - Kocaelispor	0:2 ✺
21.01.24	Tuzlaspor - Altay	2:0 ✺
15.01.24	Altay - Şanlıurfaspor	1:0 ✺
24.12.23	Altay - Keçiörengücü	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLLWW
- Erzurumspor
Turkish First League
04.02.24	Erzurumspor - Şanlıurfaspor	2:0 ✺
27.01.24	Manisa FK - Erzurumspor	0:2 ✺
20.01.24	Erzurumspor - Bodrumspor	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	Bandırmaspor - Erzurumspor	0:0 ✺
25.12.23	Eyüpspor - Erzurumspor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
16.09.23	Erzurumspor - Altay	4:0
30.03.23	Erzurumspor - Altay	2:4
22.10.22	Altay - Erzurumspor	1:1
12.07.20	Altay - Erzurumspor	0:1
22.12.19	Erzurumspor - Altay	1:3
Turkish Cup
20.09.17	Altay - Erzurumspor	0:1 penalties
Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
17.04.16	Erzurumspor - Altay	3:1

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