Match Info

1. Lig - Round 17

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu (Erzurum)

Referee: Saglam K. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Erzurumspor		Bodrumspor

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.62	2.91	2.72
	2.8	3.06	2.73
	2.67	3.12	2.67	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.75
	2.63	2.91	2.59	Watch
	2.62	3	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.46)	3 ↓ (3.12)	2.67 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzurumspor
34.8%

Draw
30.7%

Bodrumspor
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

29.7%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

30.4%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzurumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Bodrumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Erzurumspor - Bodrumspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Erzurumspor will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Bodrumspor will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Erzurumspor will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Orbanic M. (G) 53. Ovacikli O. 4. Gerxhaliu A. 22. Yumlu M. 15. Giorbelidze G. 6. Baiye B. 77. Keser B. 24. Crociata G. 8. Akgun S. 99. Fettahoglu M. 10. Tozlu E.	1. Nogueira Sousa D. F. (G) 27. Yilmaz M. 15. Ajeti Ar. 35. Apaydin F. 11. Imeri O. 21. Aslan A. 26. Mohammed M. 10. Brazao P. 90. Habesoglu A. 16. Fredy 99. Seferi T.
Substitutes
1. Anapa E. (G) 35. Erdem E. 16. Kabak A. 25. Kara O. 3. Kirtay Y. 98. Moradaoglu K. (G) 17. Sarikaya S. 29. Sylla C. 2. Ulgen A.	54. Adiyaman R. (G) 37. Arkutcu E. 70. Bilsel E. 7. Dimitrov Z. 8. Erdilman M. 91. Ogruce E. 68. Tarim I. 32. Tosun B. (G) 25. Turk A.
Coaches
Ozbalta S.	Yilmaz S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Yumlu M. ⚽,
28', Yilmaz M. 🟨,
36', Fettahoglu M. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Fredy ⚽,
42', Orbanic M. 🟨,
45+3', Fredy 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 2, Mohammed M. ⚽, Aslan A. (A),
63', Keser B. ↓, Sylla C. ↑,
72', Crociata G. ↓, Kabak A. ↑,
79', Akgun S. ↓, Kirtay Y. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Tozlu E. ⚽, Kabak A. (A),
86', Tozlu E. 🟨,
87', Aslan A. ↓, Tarim I. ↑,
87', Brazao P. ↓, Dimitrov Z. ↑,
90+5', Seferi T. ↓, Turk A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Erzurumspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Erzurumspor: Akpinar M. (Suspended) Bayrak C. (Suspended) Kilinc K. (Inactive) Onal M. (Suspended) Ozhan F. (Suspended) Saglik S. (Inactive) Sasi F. (Inactive) Sever I. (Suspended) Yener H. (Suspended)

There will not play in Bodrumspor: Aytemur A. (Suspended) Demir B. (Inactive) Obekpa G. (Inactive) Yavuzay B. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Bodrumspor: Sen C. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Erzurumspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzurumspor
Turkish First League
07.12.25	Boluspor - Erzurumspor	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Erzurumspor - İstanbulspor	4:0 ✺
23.11.25	Igdirspor - Erzurumspor	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Erzurumspor - Erokspor	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	Hatayspor - Erzurumspor	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLTW
- Bodrumspor
Turkish First League
08.12.25	Bandırmaspor - Bodrumspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.12.25	Muğlaspor - Bodrumspor	1:2 ✺
Turkish First League
30.11.25	Bodrumspor - Çorum	4:0 ✺
23.11.25	Umraniyespor - Bodrumspor	1:0 ✺
07.11.25	Bodrumspor - İstanbulspor	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
20.01.24	Erzurumspor - Bodrumspor	1:0
19.08.23	Bodrumspor - Erzurumspor	0:0
26.03.23	Bodrumspor - Erzurumspor	0:0
16.10.22	Erzurumspor - Bodrumspor	1:2
Turkish Cup
30.10.19	Erzurumspor - Bodrumspor	3:1

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