Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 17

Date: 24 December 2023, Sunday

Location: Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadi (Izmir)

Referee: Yilmaz A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	Altay		Keçiörengücü

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.83	Watch
	3.6	3.5	1.87
	4	3.6	1.87	Watch
	4.02	3.82	1.94
	4.03	3.82	1.86
	3.6	3.4	1.8
	3.82	3.55	1.86
	3.7	3.4	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (3.67)	3.59 ↑ (3.48)	1.86 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altay
24.1%

Draw
26%

Keçiörengücü
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

26.6%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

25.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Keçiörengücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altay than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	10%	40%

Altay - Keçiörengücü Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Altay will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Altay: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ozenc O. (G) 17. Sarikaya S. 5. Ozdemir S. 38. Ozturk I. 88. Ozkaya O. 6. Gulselam C. 8. Yildirim Z. 14. Unlu T. 63. Kadah D. 28. Gunduz M. 19. Paixao M.	71. Ucar M. (G) 9. Inan M. 89. Resmen E. 15. Sengul A. 3. Cinan M. 8. Cetin S. 6. Develi E. 7. Ariyibi G. 11. Bardhi J. 14. Camara M. 99. Kilinc K.
Substitutes
44. Altunbudak K. 30. Baycan C. 77. Efe O. 32. Gezer A. 35. Karatas E. (G) 21. Kizilkuyu A. 24. Ozcam E. 3. Tekin Y. 11. Uluc M. 20. Yetkin E.	23. Aktas M. 25. Atac B. (G) 20. Budak B. 10. Dembele P. M. 33. Innocent C. 19. Mara U. 36. Nahirci O. 26. Ozdemir O. 41. Sarman H. A. 35. Yildirim B.
Coaches
Simsek Y.	Cingoz A.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Altay won 1.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Altay could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Keçiörengücü is a favorite.

There will not play in Altay: Sarikaya E. (Red Card)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Altay won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Altay won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altay SK
Turkish First League
20.12.23	Adanaspor - Altay	0:1 ✺
11.12.23	Altay - Boluspor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
06.12.23	Altay - Kırklarelispor	2:3 ✺
Turkish First League
03.12.23	Manisa FK - Altay	3:0 ✺
26.11.23	Çorum - Altay	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLLL
- Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League
20.12.23	Keçiörengücü - Bandırmaspor	1:3 ✺
09.12.23	Umraniyespor - Keçiörengücü	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
05.12.23	Keçiörengücü - Muş Spor	2:1 ✺
Turkish First League
02.12.23	Keçiörengücü - Sakaryaspor	1:3 ✺
27.11.23	Gençlerbirliği - Keçiörengücü	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
29.01.23	Keçiörengücü - Altay	1:1
28.08.22	Altay - Keçiörengücü	1:3
13.02.21	Altay - Keçiörengücü	0:4
03.10.20	Keçiörengücü - Altay	0:1
16.02.20	Keçiörengücü - Altay	2:0
21.09.19	Altay - Keçiörengücü	0:0

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