Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 19

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Paisley Park (Melbourne)


	Altona Magic		Melbourne City Youth

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.50	2.45
	2.1	3.65	2.72
	2.01	3.95	3.35
	2.16	3.99	2.81	Watch
	1.98	3.9	3
	2.05	3.76	3.18
	2.13	3.7	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.7)	3.78 ↑ (3.35)	2.89 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altona Magic
43.5%

Draw
24.5%

Melbourne City Youth
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

26.6%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

25.8%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altona Magic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Altona Magic's performance.

Melbourne City Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne City Youth might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altona Magic than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Altona Magic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City Youth than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne City Youth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Altona Magic - Melbourne City Youth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
31', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Melbourne City Youth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Altona Magic won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altona Magic
Australian NPL Victoria
26.06.26	Bentleigh Greens - Altona Magic	0:1 ✺
21.06.26	St Albans Dinamo - Altona Magic	2:1 ✺
07.06.26	South Melbourne - Altona Magic	2:3 ✺
30.05.26	Altona Magic - Oakleigh Cannons	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	Altona Magic - Hume City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWLL
- Melbourne City Youth
Australian NPL Victoria
26.06.26	St Albans Dinamo - Melbourne City Youth	0:2 ✺
19.06.26	Oakleigh Cannons - Melbourne City Youth	3:1 ✺
30.05.26	Melbourne City Youth - Dandenong City	0:1 ✺
24.05.26	Melbourne City Youth - Dandenong Thunder	2:0 ✺
15.05.26	Green Gully - Melbourne City Youth	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
22.03.26	Melbourne City Youth - Altona Magic	1:1

Altona Magic - Melbourne City Youth: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide