Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 15

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Casey Fields (Cranbourne East)


	Melbourne City Youth		Dandenong City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.38	3.65	2.4	Watch
	2.48	3.85	2.51
	2.19	3.72	2.9	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.45
	2.5	3.69	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.01)	3.66 ↓ (3.72)	2.55 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Melbourne City Youth
38.6%

Draw
25.2%

Dandenong City
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

24.7%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

23.4%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne City Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne City Youth's form might have worsened.

Dandenong City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dandenong City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City Youth than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne City Youth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dandenong City than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dandenong City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Melbourne City Youth - Dandenong City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Melbourne City Youth will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Dandenong City will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Melbourne City Youth is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dandenong City is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dandenong City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Melbourne City Youth is a strong favorite.

We predict that Melbourne City Youth will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Melbourne City Youth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne City Youth
Australian NPL Victoria
24.05.26	Melbourne City Youth - Dandenong Thunder	2:0 ✺
15.05.26	Green Gully - Melbourne City Youth	1:3 ✺
08.05.26	Bentleigh Greens - Melbourne City Youth	0:7 ✺
01.05.26	South Melbourne - Melbourne City Youth	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Melbourne City Youth - Hume City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWL
- Dandenong City SC
Australian NPL Victoria
22.05.26	Dandenong City - St Albans Dinamo	2:1 ✺
15.05.26	Dandenong City - Oakleigh Cannons	1:1 ✺
08.05.26	Preston Lions - Dandenong City	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Altona Magic - Dandenong City	1:0 ✺
24.04.26	Dandenong City - Dandenong Thunder	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
20.02.26	Dandenong City - Melbourne City Youth	2:4

Melbourne City Youth - Dandenong City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide