The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
South Melbourne 59.5%
Draw 22.3%
Altona Magic 18.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.1%
22%
26%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.7%
21.3%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
South Melbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in South Melbourne's performance.
Altona Magic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Altona Magic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with South Melbourne that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altona Magic than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Altona Magic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
20%
20%
South Melbourne - Altona Magic Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. South Melbourne will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Altona Magic will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, ⚽,
39', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
66', 2 - 2, ⚽,
68', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 12 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Melbourne won 4.
South Melbourne is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Altona Magic has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
South Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
In this match, South Melbourne is seen as the favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, South Melbourne won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 34:9. (average 2.4:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, South Melbourne won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:3. (average 2.7:0.5).
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