Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 14

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Casey Fields (Cranbourne East)


	Melbourne City Youth		Dandenong Thunder

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.9	4.33
	1.68	3.9	3.85	Watch
	1.72	4.46	4.2
	1.7	4.86	3.64	Watch
	1.7	3.8	3.9
	1.62	4.15	4.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.73)	4.18 ↑ (3.9)	4.01 ↑ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne City Youth
54.9%

Draw
22.1%

Dandenong Thunder
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

23.5%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

22.9%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne City Youth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Dandenong Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City Youth than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dandenong Thunder than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Melbourne City Youth - Dandenong Thunder Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Melbourne City Youth has had a series of away games.

In this match, Melbourne City Youth is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Melbourne City Youth won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne City Youth
Australian NPL Victoria
15.05.26	Green Gully - Melbourne City Youth	1:3 ✺
08.05.26	Bentleigh Greens - Melbourne City Youth	0:7 ✺
01.05.26	South Melbourne - Melbourne City Youth	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Melbourne City Youth - Hume City	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Avondale - Melbourne City Youth	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWLL
- Dandenong Thunder
Australian NPL Victoria
16.05.26	Dandenong Thunder - St Albans Dinamo	2:2 ✺
08.05.26	Oakleigh Cannons - Dandenong Thunder	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Dandenong Thunder - Preston Lions	0:1 ✺
24.04.26	Dandenong City - Dandenong Thunder	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Altona Magic - Dandenong Thunder	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
14.02.26	Dandenong Thunder - Melbourne City Youth	1:1

Melbourne City Youth - Dandenong Thunder: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide