Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 16

Date: 6 August 2023, Sunday


	Altos		Paysandu

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.15
	3.25	2.9	2.15
	3.1	3.03	2.18
	3.4	2.88	2.05
	3.22	3.14	2.19	Watch
	3.1	3.05	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.5)	3 ↑ (2.9)	2.16 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altos
28.3%

Draw
30%

Paysandu
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

31.3%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

32.9%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altos's form might have worsened.

Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paysandu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altos than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paysandu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Altos - Paysandu Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paysandu: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Vinicius Rodrigues (G) 6. Bruno Collaco 25. Diego Valderrama 20. Dieguinho 5. Dos Santos 7. Lucas Campos 4. Lucas Souza 9. Manoel 3. Marcelo Sousa 2. Victor Guilherme 18. Yan Philippe	13. Matheus Nogueira (G) 5. Anilson 11. Bruno Alves 6. Eltinho 38. Gustavo Custodio 22. Jacy 16. Joao Vieira 9. Mario Sergio 25. Paulao 20. Robinho 4. Wanderson
Substitutes
24. Bruno Henrique 13. Flavio Boaventura 8. Gabriel Pires 15. Marcelo Piaui 11. Mikael 23. Murilo (G) 17. Palacios J. 22. Raul Cardoso . Rodrigo 16. Vinicius Paiva	18. Alan (G) 21. Arthur Santos 8. Dalberto 2. Edilson 12. Geovane 14. Juninho 36. Kevyn Lucas 15. Mendes R. 26. Rodolfo Filemon 37. Roger 10. Vinicius Leite

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 9).

Altos is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Paysandu is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paysandu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Paysandu will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Altos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Altos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Atlética de Altos
Brazilian Serie C
29.07.23	Volta Redonda - Altos	2:0 ✺
23.07.23	Altos - Botafogo PB	0:1 ✺
16.07.23	Altos - América RN	1:1 ✺
08.07.23	São Bernardo - Altos	1:1 ✺
03.07.23	Náutico Capibaribe - Altos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTTL
- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie C
30.07.23	América RN - Paysandu	1:1 ✺
23.07.23	Paysandu - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
17.07.23	Paysandu - Remo	1:0 ✺
08.07.23	Amazonas - Paysandu	1:2 ✺
01.07.23	Paysandu - Brusque	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
06.08.22	Altos - Paysandu	0:3
18.09.21	Altos - Paysandu	2:3
17.07.21	Paysandu - Altos	1:1

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