Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 11

Date: 3 July 2023, Monday

Location: Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho (Recife)


	Náutico Capibaribe		Altos

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.7	5.5
	1.4	4	7
	1.53	3.97	6.68
	1.44	3.5	6.5
	1.43	4.1	7	Watch
	1.5	3.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.67)	3.84 ↑ (3.3)	6.45 ↑ (5.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Capibaribe
62.1%

Draw
23.7%

Altos
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

28.2%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

27.4%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Náutico Capibaribe's performance.

Altos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altos than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Náutico Capibaribe - Altos Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Náutico: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vagner (G) 22. Berguinho 21. Danilo Cardoso 14. Denilson 7. Gabriel Santiago 9. Jael 5. Jean Mangabeira 11. Paul Villero 13. Rennan Siqueira 8. Souza 4. Victor Ferraz	1. Rafael Mariano (C) 20. Dieguinho 7. Elielton 10. Lele 8. Lucas Bessa 9. Manoel 3. Marcelo Sousa 6. Peu 22. Raul Cardoso 17. Tibiri 14. Vava
Substitutes
16. Alisson Santos 12. Bruno Lopes (G) 31. Bryan 26. Cassio (G) 17. Diego Ferreira 20. Eduardo 23. Elton 19. Jeam 10. Matheus Carvalho 3. Odivan 15. Wesley	24. Bruno Henrique 13. Digao 5. Gabriel M. 19. Joelson 4. Marcao 11. Mikael 15. Palacios J. 21. Rodrigo Fumaca 2. Victor Guilherme 16. Vinicius Paiva 12. Vinicius Rodrigues (G) 18. Yan Philippe

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Recent matches Náutico is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Altos is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Náutico could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Náutico is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Náutico won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Náutico won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie C
28.06.23	Náutico Capibaribe - Amazonas	0:1 ✺
19.06.23	Botafogo PB - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1 ✺
12.06.23	Confiança - Náutico Capibaribe	2:2 ✺
06.06.23	Náutico Capibaribe - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
03.06.23	Pouso Alegre - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTTWW
- Associação Atlética de Altos
Brazilian Serie C
25.06.23	Altos - Pouso Alegre	0:0 ✺
17.06.23	Altos - Amazonas	2:3 ✺
11.06.23	Floresta - Altos	0:0 ✺
07.06.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - Altos	4:1 ✺
03.06.23	Altos - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
23.03.19	Náutico Capibaribe - Altos	2:0
29.03.18	Altos - Náutico Capibaribe	2:2
17.01.18	Náutico Capibaribe - Altos	2:2

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