The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Amazonas 28.8%
Draw 28.5%
Paysandu 42.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35%
29.7%
35.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.6%
28.4%
33.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amazonas's form might have worsened.
Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paysandu's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amazonas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paysandu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Amazonas - Paysandu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Joao Lopes (G) 13. Alyson 14. Diego Ivo 15. Kauan Firmo 3. Marcondes 23. Nunez P. 5. Panzariello I. 6. Rafael Furlan 10. Rafael Tavares 9. Ronaldo 20. Schiappacasse N.
41. Marcao (G) 31. Bonifazi F. 14. Bruno Bispo 8. Caio Mello 2. Edilson 98. Juninho 99. Lucas Cardoso 10. Marcinho 80. Pablo 44. Pedro Carrerette 39. Pedro Henrique
Substitutes
12. Axel Lopes (G) 30. Bernardo Daciolo 18. Carlinhos 19. Castro P. 21. Graffin A. 22. Guga 25. Italo Silva 8. Jhonny Lucas 4. Jonas 17. Mena Y. 11. Vinicius Leite 16. Wendell
23. Brian Macapa 5. Henrico 9. Italo Carvalho 1. Jean Drosny (G) 4. larley Brito 77. Luciano Taboca 30. Thalyson 25. Tiago Indio 20. Vieira R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Lucas Cardoso ⚽,
14', Kauan Firmo 🟨,
20', 1 - 1, Schiappacasse N. ⚽,
23', Panzariello I. 🟨,
30', Juninho 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Marcinho 🟨,
63', Pablo ↓, Thalyson ↑,
63', Bonifazi F. ↓, Luciano Taboca ↑,
69', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
71', Ronaldo ↓, Bernardo Daciolo ↑,
71', Panzariello I. ↓, Jhonny Lucas ↑,
71', Rafael Furlan ↓, Italo Silva ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Schiappacasse N. (Penalty Awarded),
77', Juninho ↓, Italo Carvalho ↑,
77', Caio Mello ↓, Henrico ↑,
81', Alyson ↓, Jonas ↑,
89', Schiappacasse N. ↓, Mena Y. ↑,
90+5', Edilson 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amazonas won 2.
Recent form of Amazonas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Paysandu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Amazonas won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Amazonas won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
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Joao Lopes (G) 
Nunez P. 
Panzariello I. 
Graffin A. 
Jonas 
Mena Y. 
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