Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 12

Date: 8 July 2023, Saturday


	São Bernardo		Altos

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.33	7.5
	1.32	4.2	9.4
	1.33	4.47	9.88
	1.32	3.9	8.5
	1.33	4.5	8.9	Watch
	1.35	4.3	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.56)	4.28 ↑ (3.43)	8.66 ↑ (5.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bernardo
68.3%

Draw
21.2%

Altos
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

26.4%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

25.5%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Bernardo's performance.

Altos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Bernardo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altos than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

São Bernardo - Altos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alex Alves (G) 22. Alex Reinaldo 6. Arthur Henrique 20. Bruno Michel 18. Bruno Santos 14. Itambe 33. Kaua Jesus 13. Leo Paraiso 4. Matheus Salustiano 8. Rodrigo Souza (C) 17. Romisson	1. Rafael Mariano (C) 6. Bruno Collaco 20. Dieguinho 15. Gabriel M. 10. Lele 8. Lucas Bessa 9. Manoel 3. Marcelo Sousa 17. Tibiri 14. Vava 2. Victor Guilherme
Substitutes
32. Alec 11. Allanzinho 27. Anareto K. (G) 26. Davi Gabriel 97. Gionnotti F. 55. Henrique Lordelo 21. Hugo Sanchez 2. Jeferson 9. Joao Carlos 12. Junior Oliveira (G) 10. Matheus Oliveira 28. Ramos C.	5. Dos Santos 7. Elielton 19. Liliu 4. Marcao 11. Mikael 13. Palacios J. 21. Rodrigo Fumaca 12. Vinicius Rodrigues (G) 18. Yan Philippe

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match São Bernardo is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie C
01.07.23	São Bernardo - Botafogo PB	0:0 ✺
25.06.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - São Bernardo	2:2 ✺
19.06.23	São Bernardo - Volta Redonda	0:3 ✺
12.06.23	Paysandu - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
08.06.23	Floresta - São Bernardo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTLTL
- Associação Atlética de Altos
Brazilian Serie C
03.07.23	Náutico Capibaribe - Altos	1:0 ✺
25.06.23	Altos - Pouso Alegre	0:0 ✺
17.06.23	Altos - Amazonas	2:3 ✺
11.06.23	Floresta - Altos	0:0 ✺
07.06.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - Altos	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLTL

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